The ATP 500 Munich quarterfinals on April 17 feature two competitive matchups where underdogs offer strong value. Vit Kopriva’s confidence and head-to-head edge could trouble Flavio Cobolli. At the same time, Francisco Cerundolo’s proven success against Alexander Zverev on clay makes him a solid pick to keep things close.
ATP 500 Munich quarterfinals
Cobolli – Kopriva: 17.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Flavio Cobolli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, the Italian defeated Dedura in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Cobolli dominated on his serve. In the 1/8-Finals, the Italian defeated Bergs in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. Last season in Munich, Cobolli lost to Shevchenko in the opening round in three sets.
Vit Kopriva has won three of his last five matches. This is his third appearance in Munich. In the opening round, Kopriva defeated Engel in three sets. Besides losing the second set, the Czech dominated throughout the match. In the 1/8-Finals, Kopriva upset Darderi in three sets after losing the opening set 2-6. He trailed 0-2 in the second set, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Kopriva is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He upset Darderi, who is in great form on clay. The Czech has won both head-to-head meetings against Cobolli. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Kopriva covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Vit Kopriva +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Zverev – Cerundolo: 17.04.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: 4-3
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Zverev defeated Kecmanovic in three tight sets. In the deciding set, Zverev served well and played better under pressure. In the 1/8-Finals, the German demolished Diallo in straight sets, whilst losing only three games and offering only one breakpoint. He is the defending champion here in Munich. The German has lifted the trophy three times already.
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Monte Carlo, the Argentine lost to Machac in the second round in straight sets. This week in Munich, Cerundolo beat Nagal in straight sets in the opening match. He was great under pressure, saving all eight breakpoints he offered. Today, in the 1/8-Finals, Cerundolo demolished van de Zandschulp in straight sets within an hour. Last season in Munich, the Argentine lost to Shelton in the semifinals in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The Argentine has won all three head-to-head meetings on clay against Zverev. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
